An objective baseline for flare prediction /
Ronald T. Podsiadlo.

Description

Main Author

Podsiadlo, Ronald T.

Related Names

Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratories (U.S.)

Language(s)

English

Published

L.G. Hanscom Field, Bedford, Massachusetts : Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratories, Office of Aerospace Research, United States Air Force, 1972.

Subjects

Sunspots.
Solar flares > Solar flares / Forecasting.
Radio waves.
Magnetic fields.
Correlation (Statistics)
Correlation (Statistics)
Radio waves.
Magnetic fields.
Sunspots.
Solar flares > Solar flares / Forecasting.

Summary

The relationship between various measurable solar parameters and solar-flare occurrence is examined utilizing a comprehensive solar-geophysical data base containing a variety of objectively-correlated solar measurements. The sample covers the period from January 1955 through February 1968 and includes such parameters as solar flares, sunspots, magnetic fields of sunspots, calcium plages and 9.1 cm radio brightness temperatures. A statistical analysis was performed to determine the parameters most useful for the prediction of solar flares 24 hours in advance. Persistence was identified as the single most important flare predictor, with sunspot magnetic classification, 9.1 cm radio brightness temperature, plage brightness and sunspot area also selected as useful predictors. Objective flare probability prediction equations were developed that incorporate all useful predictors simultaneously. (Author).

Note

Research supported by the Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratories, Air Force Systems Command, United States Air Force, L.G. Hanscom Field, Bedford, Massachusetts.
Space Physics Laboratory Project 8666.
AD0749869 (from http://www.dtic.mil).
"14 July 1972."

Physical Description

v, 7 pages ; 28 cm.

Locate a Print Version

Find in a library
Find in a library

Viewability